S1, S2 - Samples, tables and charts

S1, S2 - Samples, tables and charts

Use a sample to learn about a larger group, while keeping its limits in view. Organise data in frequency and two-way tables, choose suitable charts, and construct and interpret bar charts, pictograms, vertical line charts, pie charts and time-series graphs.

Samples and populations

A school has 800800 pupils. Of 4040 pupils asked, 2626 want a later lunch. Is that enough to say that about 520520 pupils want it? The arithmetic is easy. Whether the answer is useful depends on who was asked.

You already know

A relative frequency is the number of times an outcome occurs divided by the number of trials. Fractions and percentages can scale a proportion from one total to another.

Asking every pupil would be a census. Asking some saves time, but their views may not represent everyone else's. Asking only pupils still in the lunch queue is especially risky: they may have a particular reason to want lunch moved.

Population and sample

The population is the whole group about which you want information. A sample is the smaller group actually investigated. A sample is biased if its selection systematically favours some members or views over others. For example, surveying a sports club about the whole school's favourite activity is likely to over-represent sport.

Choose pupils from a complete list using a random selection, rather than choosing friends or volunteers. A larger unbiased sample usually gives a more reliable estimate, but it still has sampling variation. Doubling a biased sample does not repair its selection. Even asking every member of one class leaves the other classes out.

Estimating a population count

estimated count=sample countsample size×population size\text{estimated count}=\frac{\text{sample count}}{\text{sample size}}\times\text{population size}

Use this when the sample reasonably represents the population. The result is an estimate, not a guaranteed count.

Not on the formulae sheet: learn it.

First separate a calculation from the assumption that makes it useful.

Worked example 1: estimating from a random sample

Question. A random sample of 4040 out of 800800 pupils contains 2626 who want a later lunch. Estimate how many pupils want a later lunch. Non-calculator.

Plan. Apply the sample fraction to the whole school.

sample fraction=2640use all sampled pupilsestimated count=2640×800scale to the population=26×20=520each sampled pupil represents 20\begin{aligned} \text{sample fraction}&=\frac{26}{40} &&\text{use all sampled pupils}\\ \text{estimated count}&=\frac{26}{40}\times800 &&\text{scale to the population}\\ &=26\times20=520 &&\text{each sampled pupil represents 20} \end{aligned}

Why this step? The fraction describes support, while 800800 supplies the size of the group being estimated.

Answer. About 520520 pupils, assuming the random sample represents the school reasonably well.

Check. 2626 is more than half of 4040; 520520 is more than half of 800800.

Change only the selection method. The same arithmetic can now hide a serious weakness.

Worked example 2: the same figures from a biased sample

Question. The 4040 pupils are instead the first 4040 people at the lunch queue. Again 2626 want a later lunch. Work out the estimate and explain one limitation. Non-calculator.

Plan. Calculate as before, then connect the limitation to the people selected.

estimated count=2640×800same observed proportion=520same numerical estimate\begin{aligned} \text{estimated count}&=\frac{26}{40}\times800 &&\text{same observed proportion}\\ &=520 &&\text{same numerical estimate} \end{aligned}

Why this step? A correct calculation cannot remove bias in the data that went into it.

Answer. The estimate is 520520. It may be unreliable because early queue users may have different lunch preferences from pupils who arrive later or do not queue.

Check. Both surveys give 65%65\%, but only the first deliberately gave all pupils a chance of selection.

Here is a useful surprise: two surveys can produce exactly the same table and still deserve different levels of trust. A chart cannot show a selection bias that was never recorded.

Watch out

Wrong: “The sample is unreliable because it does not include everyone.” That describes every sample. Right: identify a particular missing or over-represented group and explain why its responses might differ.

Keep the inference and its limitation together in the following question.

Frequency tables, bar charts and pictograms

A list of favourite lunch choices is hard to scan. A frequency table counts each category once, then a chart makes the comparison visible.

Frequency and categorical data

Frequency means how many times a value or category occurs. Categorical data are labels, such as soup, pasta and salad. Their order need not have a numerical meaning. A pupil's height is numerical data, not categorical data.

For the responses soup, pasta, salad, pasta, soup, pasta, the frequencies are soup 22, pasta 33, salad 11. Tally each response in one row. The total frequency must match the number of responses.

A bar chart has equal-width bars with gaps, labelled categories and a frequency axis starting at zero. Categories can be reordered. A pictogram uses equal-sized symbols and a key; a half symbol means half the key's value. Do not enlarge a symbol to show a larger count, because its area then misleads.

[DIAGRAM: asset_name: Bar chart and pictogram of lunch choices; asset_slug: aqa8300_s01_bar_pictogram; caption: The same frequencies can be shown by bar heights or by symbols with a key; description: Left panel has separate equal-width bars for soup 12, pasta 18 and salad 6 with a frequency scale from zero. Right panel uses a full circle for four pupils and a half-circle for two, giving three circles for soup, four and a half for pasta and one and a half for salad.]
The same frequencies can be shown by bar heights or by symbols with a key

Choose a bar chart for comparing several categories accurately; a pictogram is friendly for a few counts when a simple key works. These chart conventions are not on the formulae sheet: learn them.

Worked example 3: constructing a bar chart

Question. A frequency table gives soup 1212, pasta 1818, salad 66. Describe how to draw its bar chart and work out the total. Non-calculator.

Plan. Choose a frequency scale covering the largest value, then draw three separate bars.

largest frequency=18choose a scale reaching 20bar heights=12,18,6copy the table accuratelytotal=12+18+6=36add all categories\begin{aligned} \text{largest frequency}&=18 &&\text{choose a scale reaching 20}\\ \text{bar heights}&=12,18,6 &&\text{copy the table accurately}\\ \text{total}&=12+18+6=36 &&\text{add all categories} \end{aligned}

Why this step? A zero baseline lets the heights show the actual sizes, rather than exaggerating differences.

Answer. Label the horizontal categories and vertical axis “Frequency”. Use equal-width, separated bars of heights 1212, 1818, 66. There are 3636 responses.

Check. Pasta's bar is three times salad's height, matching 18=3×618=3\times6.

Change only the representation: keep the frequencies, but use a pictogram key.

Worked example 4: constructing a pictogram

Question. Show the same frequencies using one full circle for 44 pupils. Non-calculator.

Plan. Divide each frequency by the value of one symbol.

soup symbols=12÷4=3use the keypasta symbols=18÷4=4.5include a half-symbolsalad symbols=6÷4=1.5include a half-symbol\begin{aligned} \text{soup symbols}&=12\div4=3 &&\text{use the key}\\ \text{pasta symbols}&=18\div4=4.5 &&\text{include a half-symbol}\\ \text{salad symbols}&=6\div4=1.5 &&\text{include a half-symbol} \end{aligned}

Why this step? Half a circle means 22 pupils because the full circle means 44.

Answer. Draw 33, 4124\frac12 and 1121\frac12 equal-sized circles in the three labelled rows, and write the key.

Check. The 99 full-symbol equivalents represent 9×4=369\times4=36 pupils.

Always read the key before counting pictures.

Watch out

Wrong: 4124\frac12 symbols means 4.54.5 pupils. Right: with a key of 44, it means 4.5×4=184.5\times4=18 pupils. It is the symbol count, not the pupil count, that can include halves.

The next key has a different value, so a half-symbol represents a different count.

Vertical line charts for discrete data

A number of pets can be 00, 11, 22 or 33. It cannot be 1.41.4. The numerical positions matter, so leave their spacing intact.

Discrete numerical data

Numerical data taking separate possible values, often counts. A vertical line chart shows each value at its correct position on a numerical axis, with a line whose height is its frequency. For example, number of pets is discrete; measured mass is continuous.

Include a missing value's position even if its frequency is zero. Unlike a categorical bar chart, moving “three pets” to the left of “one pet” would destroy the scale. Do not join the tops: the lines show frequencies at separate values, not a change through time.

[DIAGRAM: asset_name: Vertical line chart for pets; asset_slug: aqa8300_s01_vertical; caption: Each possible pet count keeps its numerical position, including zero frequency at three pets; description: Numerical horizontal axis shows 0 to 4 pets at equal spacing, frequency axis starts at zero. Vertical lines have heights 5, 8, 4, 0 and 3 respectively, with an open marker at the zero-height value three.]
Each possible pet count keeps its numerical position, including zero frequency at three pets

The method is a plotting convention, not on the formulae sheet: learn it.

Worked example 5: a numerical frequency chart

Question. Pet counts 0,1,2,3,40,1,2,3,4 have frequencies 5,8,4,0,35,8,4,0,3. Describe the vertical line chart and work out how many people have at least 22 pets. Non-calculator.

Plan. Plot each frequency above its number, then add the qualifying frequencies.

plotted heights at 0,1,2,3,4=5,8,4,0,3keep numerical spacingat least 2 pets=4+0+3=7include 2, 3 and 4\begin{aligned} \text{plotted heights at }0,1,2,3,4&=5,8,4,0,3 &&\text{keep numerical spacing}\\ \text{at least 2 pets}&=4+0+3=7 &&\text{include 2, 3 and 4} \end{aligned}

Why this step? “At least” includes the boundary value 22.

Answer. Draw the vertical lines shown. There are 77 people with at least 22 pets.

Check. There are 2020 people in total and 1313 with fewer than 22; 20−13=720-13=7.

Change only the boundary: “more than” excludes the named value.

Worked example 6: reading a strict boundary

Question. Using the same table, work out how many people have more than 22 pets. Non-calculator.

Plan. Add only frequencies above 22 on the horizontal axis.

allowed counts=3,4exclude exactly 2number of people=0+3=3add frequencies\begin{aligned} \text{allowed counts}&=3,4 &&\text{exclude exactly 2}\\ \text{number of people}&=0+3=3 &&\text{add frequencies} \end{aligned}

Why this step? The horizontal values are pet counts; the heights are people. Add heights, not 3+43+4.

Answer. 33 people.

Check. Removing the 44 people with exactly 22 pets from the previous 77 leaves 33.

Read both axes before using a chart.

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