1.8 - Rounding and estimation

1.8 - Rounding and estimation

A quick estimate can catch a misplaced decimal point before it costs you marks. You will round integers, decimals and significant figures, then use simple rounded values to check a calculation's size. You will also see why rounding too early can change an answer.

Rounding integers

A calculator result for (39.7×6.12)÷0.203(39.7\times6.12)\div0.203 is reported as 1196811968. Does that look sensible? We will build a quick estimate that can answer without carrying out the original calculation exactly.

You already know

Place value tells you where a digit sits. The powers 101=1010^1=10, 102=10010^2=100 and 103=100010^3=1000 give tens, hundreds and thousands. Nearby multiples help you compare distances.

Rounding keeps the number close while reducing its detail. For example, 4736247362 is between the neighbouring hundreds 4730047300 and 4740047400. It is 6262 from the first and 3838 from the second, so 4740047400 is nearer.

Rounding to a power of ten

To round a number to a given power of ten is to choose the nearest multiple of that power. For the nonnegative numbers here, a halfway value is rounded to the greater multiple. Thus 4750047500, rounded to the nearest 10001000, is 4800048000.

Choose the place to retain, then inspect the next digit. Below 55, leave the retained digit unchanged. At 55 or above, increase it by 11, carrying if needed. Replace later whole-number places with zeros. The rounding rules are not in either the Foundation or Higher formulae sheet: learn them.

The picture shows the nearest-hundred decision. The marked number lies beyond the midpoint.

[DIAGRAM: asset_slug: rounding_nearest_hundred; caption: 47362 lies closer to 47400 than to 47300; description: Number line from 47300 to 47400 with equally spaced ticks. The midpoint 47350 is labelled. A point at 47362 is 62 above 47300 and 38 below 47400, showing why it rounds to 47400 to the nearest hundred; file: rounding_nearest_hundred.png; recommended_method: matplotlib]
47362 lies closer to 47400 than to 47300

Worked example 1: choose the retained place

Question. Round 4736247362 to the nearest 1010, 100100 and 10001000.

Plan. Start from the original number each time and inspect the digit just after the required place.

47362≈47360nearest ten: inspect 247362≈47400nearest hundred: inspect 647362≈47000nearest thousand: inspect 3\begin{aligned} 47362&\approx47360 &&\text{nearest ten: inspect }2\\ 47362&\approx47400 &&\text{nearest hundred: inspect }6\\ 47362&\approx47000 &&\text{nearest thousand: inspect }3 \end{aligned}

Why keep the zeros? They preserve the number's size after the detailed digits have been removed.

Answer. 4736047360, 4740047400 and 4700047000, respectively.

Check. For the hundred, distances 6262 and 3838 confirm that 4740047400 is nearer.

Change one digit in the original number, from 4736247362 to 4796247962. The hundreds answer now needs a carry.

Worked example 2: carry through a nine

Question. Round 4796247962 to the nearest 1010, 100100 and 10001000.

Plan. Use the same three places and carry when increasing a retained 99.

47962≈47960nearest ten: next digit 247962≈48000nearest hundred: next digit 647962≈48000nearest thousand: next digit 9\begin{aligned} 47962&\approx47960 &&\text{nearest ten: next digit }2\\ 47962&\approx48000 &&\text{nearest hundred: next digit }6\\ 47962&\approx48000 &&\text{nearest thousand: next digit }9 \end{aligned}

Why can two requested precisions give the same answer? 4800048000 happens to be both the nearest hundred and the nearest thousand here.

Answer. 4796047960, 4800048000 and 4800048000, respectively.

Check. 48000−47962=3848000-47962=38. The lower hundred 4790047900 is 6262 away, and the lower thousand 4700047000 is 962962 away.

Always round the original value directly to the requested precision. Rounding a rounded value can create a different result.

Watch out

47362≈47447362\approx474 is not rounding to the nearest hundred. It changes the size drastically. Keep the place-value zeros: 47362≈4740047362\approx47400.

Make one nearest-thousand decision yourself.

Decimal places

Decimal places count positions after the decimal point. A zero still occupies a position: in 0.084760.08476, the tenths digit is 00, the hundredths digit is 88, and the thousandths digit is 44.

Decimal places

Decimal places measure how many digits are shown after the decimal point. Two decimal places means stopping at hundredths. For example, 4.204.20 shows two decimal places; 4.24.2 shows one, although the values are equal.

Retain the requested positions and inspect the next digit. Carry through digits of value 99, as in whole-number addition. Include a final zero when it is needed to show the requested number of decimal places.

Worked example 3: round to hundredths

Question. Round 12.74612.746 to two decimal places.

Plan. Keep the hundredths position and inspect the thousandths digit.

12.746⟶12.74identify retained places6≥5next digit rounds up12.746≈12.75increase the hundredths digit\begin{aligned} 12.746&\longrightarrow12.74 &&\text{identify retained places}\\ 6&\geq5 &&\text{next digit rounds up}\\ 12.746&\approx12.75 &&\text{increase the hundredths digit} \end{aligned}

Why inspect the 66? It tells us which adjacent hundredth is nearer.

Answer. 12.7512.75.

Check. The distances to 12.7412.74 and 12.7512.75 are 0.0060.006 and 0.0040.004; 12.7512.75 is nearer.

Keep two decimal places, but change the number so that rounding must carry into the whole-number part.

Worked example 4: show zeros after a carry

Question. Round 9.9969.996 to two decimal places.

Plan. Round the hundredths up and carry through both retained digits of value 99.

9.996⟶9.99retain hundredths first9.99+0.01=10.00next digit 6 rounds up9.996≈10.00show two decimal places\begin{aligned} 9.996&\longrightarrow9.99 &&\text{retain hundredths first}\\ 9.99+0.01&=10.00 &&\text{next digit }6\text{ rounds up}\\ 9.996&\approx10.00 &&\text{show two decimal places} \end{aligned}

Why write 10.0010.00? The two zeros communicate the requested precision.

Answer. 10.0010.00, to two decimal places.

Check. 9.9969.996 is 0.0040.004 below 10.0010.00, but 0.0060.006 above 9.999.99.

Here is a rounding surprise. Directly to one decimal place, 2.4492.449 gives 2.42.4. Rounding first to two decimal places gives 2.452.45; rounding that to one gives 2.52.5. Two rounding steps have changed the answer.

Watch out

2.449≈2.45≈2.52.449\approx2.45\approx2.5 gives the wrong result if the request was to round the original to one decimal place. Inspect the original hundredths digit 44: the answer is 2.42.4.

Try another carry, with the same requested precision.

Significant figures

Significant figures count from the first nonzero digit, rather than from the decimal point. This lets you describe precision for very large and very small numbers in the same way.

Significant figures

Significant figures are digits counted from the first nonzero digit. Once counting starts, zeros within the number count too. In 0.0040780.004078, the significant digits are 44, 00, 77, 88; the earlier zeros only locate the number's size.

Find the first significant digit, count to the requested last one, then inspect the next digit. Keep leading decimal zeros and replace discarded whole-number places with zeros. For example, 95819581 to two significant figures is 96009600, not 9696. A trailing decimal zero can show precision: 3.03.0 has two significant figures, whereas 33 has one.

Worked example 5: a zero can be significant

Question. Round 0.0040780.004078 to three significant figures.

Plan. Start at 44, retain 4,0,74,0,7, then inspect 88.

0.004078⟶0.00407retain three significant digits0.00407+0.00001=0.00408next digit rounds up0.004078≈0.00408keep leading zeros\begin{aligned} 0.004078&\longrightarrow0.00407 &&\text{retain three significant digits}\\ 0.00407+0.00001&=0.00408 &&\text{next digit rounds up}\\ 0.004078&\approx0.00408 &&\text{keep leading zeros} \end{aligned}

Why count the zero after 44? Counting has already started; that zero holds a place between significant digits.

Answer. 0.004080.00408.

Check. The result is close to 0.0040.004 and contains three significant digits: 4,0,84,0,8.

Change only the requested precision, from three significant figures to two. The rounding step now affects a different place.

Worked example 6: show a significant zero

Question. Round 0.0040780.004078 to two significant figures.

Plan. Keep 44 and 00, then inspect the next digit, 77.

0.004078⟶0.0040first two significant places0.0040+0.0001=0.0041next digit 7 rounds up0.004078≈0.0041two significant figures\begin{aligned} 0.004078&\longrightarrow0.0040 &&\text{first two significant places}\\ 0.0040+0.0001&=0.0041 &&\text{next digit }7\text{ rounds up}\\ 0.004078&\approx0.0041 &&\text{two significant figures} \end{aligned}

Why is the last digit 11? Increasing the retained zero by one raises the ten-thousandths digit.

Answer. 0.00410.0041.

Check. The neighbouring two-significant-figure values are 0.00400.0040 and 0.00410.0041. The original is 0.0000780.000078 from the first and 0.0000220.000022 from the second.

A requested number of significant figures must remain visible. For example, 0.003040.00304 to two significant figures is 0.00300.0030: the final zero is significant.

Watch out

0.004078≈0.0040.004078\approx0.004 has only one significant figure. Leading zeros do not count. For three significant figures, retain 4,0,74,0,7 and round to 0.004080.00408.

Use two significant figures for a different small decimal.

Estimating calculations

We can now return to the calculator puzzle. Round each input to one significant figure, then keep the original operations. The simpler calculation will reveal the expected size.

Estimate

An estimate is an approximate result found using convenient nearby values. It checks size; it does not establish an exact answer. Rounding all inputs to one significant figure does not automatically give an upper or lower bound.

For the method here, round every input to one significant figure. Keep brackets and the numerator/denominator structure. The method is not in either the Foundation or Higher formulae sheet. In an estimation question, show your rounded calculation even though calculators are allowed.

Worked example 7: check a suspicious answer

Question. Estimate (39.7×6.12)÷0.203(39.7\times6.12)\div0.203 by rounding every number to one significant figure. Is the reported result 1196811968 sensible?

Plan. Round the three inputs, calculate simply, then compare the size.

39.7≈40one significant figure6.12≈6one significant figure0.203≈0.2one significant figure39.7×6.120.203≈40×60.2keep the operations40×60.2=1200divide by one fifth\begin{aligned} 39.7&\approx40 &&\text{one significant figure}\\ 6.12&\approx6 &&\text{one significant figure}\\ 0.203&\approx0.2 &&\text{one significant figure}\\ \frac{39.7\times6.12}{0.203}&\approx\frac{40\times6}{0.2} &&\text{keep the operations}\\ \frac{40\times6}{0.2}&=1200 &&\text{divide by one fifth} \end{aligned}

Why does dividing by 0.20.2 make the result larger? There are five lots of 0.20.2 in 11, so division by 0.20.2 is multiplication by 55.

Answer. The estimate is 12001200. The reported 1196811968 is about ten times as large, so it is not sensible.

Check. 1200×0.2=240=40×61200\times0.2=240=40\times6, which confirms the estimated division.

Change only the divisor's size, from 0.2030.203 to 2.032.03. The numerator is unchanged, so the new result should be ten times smaller.

Worked example 8: track the divisor's size

Question. Estimate (39.7×6.12)÷2.03(39.7\times6.12)\div2.03 by rounding every number to one significant figure.

Plan. Use the same rounded numerator and a divisor of 22.

2.03≈2one significant figure39.7×6.122.03≈40×62rounded expression40×62=120calculate\begin{aligned} 2.03&\approx2 &&\text{one significant figure}\\ \frac{39.7\times6.12}{2.03}&\approx\frac{40\times6}{2} &&\text{rounded expression}\\ \frac{40\times6}{2}&=120 &&\text{calculate} \end{aligned}

Why is the estimate ten times smaller? The divisor is ten times larger, with the numerator fixed.

Answer. The estimate is 120120.

Check. 120×2=240120\times2=240, the same rounded numerator as before.

For an accurate result, go back to the original inputs and round only the final answer. A nearby calculator result passes a size check, but could still contain a smaller error.

Watch out

40×6×0.2=4840\times6\times0.2=48 changes division into multiplication. Keep the fraction: (40×6)/0.2=1200(40\times6)/0.2=1200.

Keep the numerator but change the divisor's size once more.

Quick Recap

  • For a power of ten, round to the nearest multiple and keep place-value zeros.
  • Decimal places count from the decimal point; significant figures start at the first nonzero digit.
  • Inspect the next digit, and carry when needed.
  • Round the original number directly to the requested precision.
  • Estimate with simple inputs while preserving every operation.

The opening answer 1196811968 is not sensible. The estimate is 12001200, so the reported result is about ten times too large.