AL10, AL11 - Recurrence relationships and modelling

AL10, AL11 - Recurrence relationships and modelling

Describe a sequence by telling each term how to make the next one. AL10 develops recurrence notation, including rules that use two earlier terms; AL11 turns repeated changes in balances and other quantities into mathematical models. You will see why the timing of a payment can matter as much as its size.

Making the next term

Two savings plans both add £100 a year and pay 10%10\% annual interest. One adds the money before interest; the other adds it afterwards. Starting with the same balance, will they give the same result? A recurrence relationship will make the order of events impossible to miss.

Begin with a simpler sequence: 7,11,15,19,…7, 11, 15, 19, \ldots. Each term is 44 more than the previous one. If xnx_n means the term in position nn, we write xn+1=xn+4x_{n+1}=x_n+4, together with the starting value x1=7x_1=7.

Recurrence relationship

A recurrence relationship defines a term using one or more earlier terms. It needs enough initial values to start the sequence. For example, x1=7x_1=7, xn+1=xn+4x_{n+1}=x_n+4 for positive integers nn, determines the sequence 7,11,15,…7, 11, 15, \ldots. The rule alone does not determine its starting value.

The subscript is a position label, not a multiplication. In xn+1x_{n+1}, the +1+1 advances one position; it does not add 11 to the value. By contrast, xn+1x_n+1 really does add 11 to the current value. Recurrence notation and the rules in this part are not on the formulae sheet: learn how to use them.

Worked example 1: adding a fixed amount

Question. Given x1=7x_1=7 and xn+1=xn+4x_{n+1}=x_n+4, determine x4x_4.

Plan. Use the rule successively for n=1,2,3n=1, 2, 3, recording the subscript at every step.

x2=x1+4=7+4=11use n=1x3=x2+4=11+4=15use n=2x4=x3+4=15+4=19use n=3\begin{aligned} x_2&=x_1+4=7+4=11 && \text{use }n=1 \\ x_3&=x_2+4=11+4=15 && \text{use }n=2 \\ x_4&=x_3+4=15+4=19 && \text{use }n=3 \end{aligned}

Why three steps? x1x_1 is already the first term. Three updates take it to the fourth term.

Answer. x4=19x_4=19.

Check. Starting at 77, three additions of 44 give 7+3(4)=197+3(4)=19.

The second example changes only the update operation: multiply by 22 instead of adding 44. The index still advances by just one at each step.

Worked example 2: multiplying by a fixed amount

Question. Given x1=7x_1=7 and xn+1=2xnx_{n+1}=2x_n, determine x4x_4.

Plan. Double each new value to obtain the following term.

x2=2x1=2(7)=14first updatex3=2x2=2(14)=28second updatex4=2x3=2(28)=56third update\begin{aligned} x_2&=2x_1=2(7)=14 && \text{first update} \\ x_3&=2x_2=2(14)=28 && \text{second update} \\ x_4&=2x_3=2(28)=56 && \text{third update} \end{aligned}

Why use the new value each time? The rule acts on the immediately previous term, so growth compounds rather than repeatedly doubling the original 77.

Answer. x4=56x_4=56.

Check. Three doublings give 7×23=567\times2^3=56.

A rule can also combine operations, such as xn+1=2xn+1x_{n+1}=2x_n+1, or use a negative multiplier. Read and apply the complete right-hand side at each update.

Watch out

Wrong: xn+1=2xnx_{n+1}=2x_n means x2=2(7)x_2=2(7), x3=3(7)x_3=3(7). The subscript does not replace the multiplier. Right: x3=2x2=2(14)=28x_3=2x_2=2(14)=28.

Now keep multiplication but change the sign of the multiplier. Track the alternating signs.

Rules using two earlier terms

Some sequences need two pieces of memory: the next term uses both of the previous two terms.

For xn+2=xn+xn+1x_{n+2}=x_n+x_{n+1}, knowing only x1x_1 is not enough to calculate x3x_3: you also need x2x_2. Once both are supplied, make the third term from the first two, the fourth from the second and third, and so on. Keep a small table or write each substitution. This is safer than trying to remember two changing calculator values.

Initial values

Initial values are the specified terms that start a recurrence. A rule using the previous two terms generally needs two initial values. For example, x1=2x_1=2 and x2=3x_2=3 start xn+2=xn+xn+1x_{n+2}=x_n+x_{n+1}; x1=2x_1=2 alone leaves many possible sequences.

The displayed recurrence is a rule supplied by the problem; it is not on the formulae sheet. Its indices tell you exactly which values to use.

Worked example 3: adding the previous two terms

Question. A sequence satisfies x1=2x_1=2, x2=3x_2=3 and xn+2=xn+xn+1x_{n+2}=x_n+x_{n+1}. Determine x5x_5.

Plan. Find x3x_3, then shift the pair of inputs forward for each new term.

x3=x1+x2=2+3=5use n=1x4=x2+x3=3+5=8use n=2x5=x3+x4=5+8=13use n=3\begin{aligned} x_3&=x_1+x_2=2+3=5 && \text{use }n=1 \\ x_4&=x_2+x_3=3+5=8 && \text{use }n=2 \\ x_5&=x_3+x_4=5+8=13 && \text{use }n=3 \end{aligned}

Why not use x1x_1 again for x4x_4? Increasing nn shifts every subscript. The input pair moves from (x1,x2)(x_1, x_2) to (x2,x3)(x_2, x_3).

Answer. x5=13x_5=13.

Check. The terms 2,3,5,8,132, 3, 5, 8, 13 each satisfy the stated sum rule after the first two.

The next example changes one feature: the older of the two input terms is doubled. Its coefficient belongs to that older term throughout.

Worked example 4: a weighted two-term rule

Question. Given x1=2x_1=2, x2=3x_2=3 and xn+2=2xn+xn+1x_{n+2}=2x_n+x_{n+1}, determine x5x_5.

Plan. At each step, double the older input and add the newer one.

x3=2x1+x2=2(2)+3=7older input is x1x4=2x2+x3=2(3)+7=13older input is x2x5=2x3+x4=2(7)+13=27older input is x3\begin{aligned} x_3&=2x_1+x_2=2(2)+3=7 && \text{older input is }x_1 \\ x_4&=2x_2+x_3=2(3)+7=13 && \text{older input is }x_2 \\ x_5&=2x_3+x_4=2(7)+13=27 && \text{older input is }x_3 \end{aligned}

Why write the subscripts? The related rule xn+2=xn+2xn+1x_{n+2}=x_n+2x_{n+1} would give different terms: doubling the wrong input changes the sequence.

Answer. x5=27x_5=27.

Check. With n=3n=3, the original rule gives 2x3+x4=14+13=272x_3+x_4=14+13=27.

A calculator is useful for arithmetic, but a single ANS value does not by itself hold both required earlier terms. Written substitutions make the recurrence visible.

Watch out

Wrong: from xn+2=2xn+xn+1x_{n+2}=2x_n+x_{n+1}, write x4=2x3+x2x_4=2x_3+x_2. This doubles the newer input. Right: use n=2n=2 throughout, giving x4=2x2+x3x_4=2x_2+x_3.

Writing the full intermediate terms also makes your method available for credit.

Exam tip

For a two-term recurrence, show the intervening terms even when only the fifth term is asked for. OCR's schemes can award separate marks for correctly determined intermediate terms, and the written indices help prevent using the wrong pair.

The next rule doubles the newer term instead; read its indices before calculating.

Modelling a repeated percentage change

A percentage change acts on the current amount, so its natural recurrence multiplies the previous term.

You already know

From GCSE, a 10%10\% increase uses multiplier 1.11.1, while a 20%20\% decrease uses 0.80.8. The multiplier represents the whole new amount, rather than just the amount gained or lost.

A 4%4\% increase retains 100%+4%=104%100\%+4\%=104\%, giving multiplier 1.041.04. A 15%15\% decrease retains 85%85\%, giving multiplier 0.850.85. Define what the subscript counts: if BnB_n is the balance after nn complete years, B0B_0 is the starting balance, before any interest is added.

A fixed percentage update

Xn+1=(1+r100)XnX_{n+1}=\left(1+\frac{r}{100}\right)X_n

Here rr is the signed percentage change per period: positive for an increase and negative for a decrease. The model assumes the same rate applies at every update.
Not on the formulae sheet: learn it.

Repeated multiplication gives the familiar compound-interest expression. The sheet supplies this direct formula, but you still need to translate a situation into its recurrence.

Compound interest

Bn=P(1+r100)nB_n=P\left(1+\frac{r}{100}\right)^n

Here PP is the initial principal, rr is the percentage interest rate per compounding period and nn is the number of completed periods. No money is paid in or taken out.
On the formulae sheet.

The two expressions describe the same repeated process: one makes the next value, the other jumps directly to a chosen period.

Worked example 5: a growing balance

Question. £5000 is invested at 4%4\% annual compound interest. Write a recurrence for the balance BnB_n, in pounds, after nn years and calculate B3B_3.

Plan. Start at B0=5000B_0=5000 and multiply the current balance by 1.041.04 each year.

B0=5000,Bn+1=1.04Bnmodel the annual increaseB1=1.04(5000)=5200first yearB2=1.04(5200)=5408second yearB3=1.04(5408)=5624.32third year\begin{aligned} B_0&=5000, \quad B_{n+1}=1.04B_n && \text{model the annual increase} \\ B_1&=1.04(5000)=5200 && \text{first year} \\ B_2&=1.04(5200)=5408 && \text{second year} \\ B_3&=1.04(5408)=5624.32 && \text{third year} \end{aligned}

Why not add £200 each year? Only the first year's interest is 4%4\% of £5000. Later interest is calculated on a larger balance.

Answer. B0=5000B_0=5000, Bn+1=1.04BnB_{n+1}=1.04B_n, and the balance after three years is £5624.32.

Check. The formulae-sheet expression gives 5000(1.04)3=5624.325000(1.04)^3=5624.32.

The second example changes growth into a percentage decrease. The multiplier must now be less than 11.

Worked example 6: a reducing value

Question. A machine is initially worth £8000 and loses 15%15\% of its current value each year. Write a recurrence for its value VnV_n after nn years and find V3V_3.

Plan. Retain 85%85\% of the current value at each update.

V0=8000,Vn+1=0.85Vnretain 85%V1=0.85(8000)=6800first yearV2=0.85(6800)=5780second yearV3=0.85(5780)=4913third year\begin{aligned} V_0&=8000, \quad V_{n+1}=0.85V_n && \text{retain }85\% \\ V_1&=0.85(8000)=6800 && \text{first year} \\ V_2&=0.85(6800)=5780 && \text{second year} \\ V_3&=0.85(5780)=4913 && \text{third year} \end{aligned}

Why 0.850.85, rather than 0.150.15? 0.15Vn0.15V_n is the amount lost. Vn+1V_{n+1} is the amount remaining.

Answer. V0=8000V_0=8000, Vn+1=0.85VnV_{n+1}=0.85V_n, and V3=4913V_3=4913: £4913.

Check. 8000(0.85)3=49138000(0.85)^3=4913, and the values decrease while remaining positive.

This model assumes a constant annual percentage loss. A real machine might have a resale floor or a different rate in its first year; a recurrence is only as useful as its assumptions.

Watch out

Wrong: a 12%12\% decrease gives Xn+1=0.12XnX_{n+1}=0.12X_n. That keeps only 12%12\%. Right: Xn+1=0.88XnX_{n+1}=0.88X_n, keeping 88%88\%.

Use that retained percentage in the next model, keeping intermediate values unrounded.

Combining a change with a payment

When a fixed amount is added as well as a percentage change, the order of those events determines the recurrence.

Suppose the balance at the start of a year is £1000. Adding £100 and then applying 10%10\% interest gives 1.1(1000+100)=12101.1(1000+100)=1210. Applying interest first and adding £100 afterwards gives 1.1(1000)+100=12001.1(1000)+100=1200. The extra £10 is the interest earned by the early £100 deposit.

This model assumes a fixed interest rate. Define the time at which each BnB_n is measured before you write a rule.

Worked example 7: interest followed by a deposit

Question. A balance starts at £1000. At each year end, 10%10\% interest is added, then £100 is deposited. Let BnB_n be the balance just after deposit number nn, with B0=1000B_0=1000. Form a recurrence and find B2B_2.

Plan. Multiply the previous balance by 1.11.1, then add 100100.

Bn+1=1.1Bn+100interest, then depositB1=1.1(1000)+100=1200first updateB2=1.1(1200)+100=1420second update\begin{aligned} B_{n+1}&=1.1B_n+100 && \text{interest, then deposit} \\ B_1&=1.1(1000)+100=1200 && \text{first update} \\ B_2&=1.1(1200)+100=1420 && \text{second update} \end{aligned}

Why is 100100 outside the multiplication? The new deposit arrives after that year's interest has been calculated, so it earns no interest in that update.

Answer. B0=1000B_0=1000, Bn+1=1.1Bn+100B_{n+1}=1.1B_n+100, and B2=1420B_2=1420: £1420.

Check. The second year starts with £1200, earns £120 interest and receives £100, giving £1420.

The final example changes only the timing: the same deposit is made before interest. Put the deposit inside the brackets.

Worked example 8: a deposit followed by interest

Question. Starting from £1000, £100 is deposited at the start of each year, then 10%10\% interest is added at year end. Let CnC_n be the balance at the end of year nn, with C0=1000C_0=1000. Form a recurrence and find C2C_2.

Plan. Add 100100 to the previous year-end balance, then multiply the whole amount by 1.11.1.

Cn+1=1.1(Cn+100)deposit, then interestC1=1.1(1000+100)=1210first updateC2=1.1(1210+100)=1441second update\begin{aligned} C_{n+1}&=1.1(C_n+100) && \text{deposit, then interest} \\ C_1&=1.1(1000+100)=1210 && \text{first update} \\ C_2&=1.1(1210+100)=1441 && \text{second update} \end{aligned}

Why the brackets? Both the old balance and the new £100 earn interest during the year.

Answer. C0=1000C_0=1000, Cn+1=1.1(Cn+100)C_{n+1}=1.1(C_n+100), and C2=1441C_2=1441: £1441.

Check. The second year starts after the deposit with £1310; 10%10\% interest is £131, giving £1441.

The opening plans are therefore different: after two updates, the early-deposit plan has £21 more. Its first extra £10 has itself earned £1, and the second early deposit earns another £10. Small timing differences can compound too.

[DIAGRAM: asset_name: Deposit timing changes the balance; asset_slug: recurrence-deposit-timing; caption: Deposits made before interest earn interest one year earlier; description: Discrete year-end balances for years zero, one and two. Blue points for deposit before interest are 1000, 1210 and 1441 pounds. Sage points for interest before deposit are 1000, 1200 and 1420 pounds. The year-two difference is labelled 21 pounds; points are not joined by continuous growth curves.]
Deposits made before interest earn interest one year earlier

The same modelling idea handles a withdrawal, with a minus sign, or a quantity partly retained and then topped up. For example, if a tank retains 80%80\% of its water and then receives 20 litres20\,\mathrm{litres}, its volume follows Vn+1=0.8Vn+20V_{n+1}=0.8V_n+20. Starting at 100 litres100\,\mathrm{litres}, it stays at 100 litres100\,\mathrm{litres}, because 0.8(100)+20=1000.8(100)+20=100: a changing process can have an unchanged balance. These combined-update recurrences are not on the formulae sheet; form them from the stated sequence of events.

Watch out

Wrong: use 1.1(Bn+100)1.1(B_n+100) for interest followed by a deposit. That pays interest on money that has not yet arrived. Right: follow the events in order, giving 1.1Bn+1001.1B_n+100.

Use the same timing decision with a top-up followed by a loss: the incoming water is included in the amount to which the percentage applies.

Quick Recap

  • A recurrence makes new terms from earlier terms; provide the initial values and keep the position subscripts distinct from the term values.
  • A rule using two earlier terms needs both starting values; move the input pair forward at each step.
  • Repeated percentage changes multiply the current amount; define whether the initial value is labelled with subscript 00 or 11.
  • In a combined update, follow the events in order. A constant-rate model assumes those rules remain valid.

The opening plans give £1420 and £1441 after two years. Depositing before interest earns interest on each new payment one year earlier.